DecisioTool
Forecast Accuracy PRO Bundle
Stop reporting forecast accuracy. Start improving it.
Most teams know their MAPE. Few know why it's where it is — or what to do about it Monday morning. The Forecast Accuracy PRO Bundle gives you both: a professional-grade workbook that calculates every metric that matters, and a step-by-step playbook that tells you exactly what to do when the numbers turn red.
This is the tool S&OP leaders, demand planners, and supply chain analysts use when a single accuracy number isn't enough to drive real improvement.
What's in the Bundle
Forecast Accuracy Pro — Excel Workbook (8 Sheets)
- Data Input — Enter up to 15 SKUs across 3 planners and 5 product groups, with 24 months of Forecast vs. Actual history and a root cause dropdown for every miss
- Calc Engine — Auto-calculates rolling MAPE, WAPE, Bias, and ABC/XYZ segmentation on 3 / 6 / 12-month windows. Change the As-Of Month and every metric recalculates instantly
- Forecast Value Add (FVA) — Measures whether your planners' forecasts actually beat a naive baseline. If the model outperforms the planner, you have a process problem, not a data problem
- Planner Scorecard — Rolling accuracy, bias direction, and FVA ranked by planner — the only view that tells you who needs coaching vs. who needs better data
- Executive Dashboard — Company KPI scorecard with Simple and Volume-Weighted MAPE side by side, product group rollup, trend, and exception flags — ready to present in any S&OP or IBP review
- Planner Action Log — Track what was diagnosed, what was decided, and who owns the follow-up. Turns your review from a report into a management system
- Coaching One-Pager — Auto-populates a planner-specific 1:1 brief from the workbook data. Walk into every coaching conversation already prepared
Forecast Accuracy Improvement Playbook — PDF Guide
- How to read MAPE vs. WAPE vs. Bias — and which one to lead with in a leadership review
- Why rolling 3 / 6 / 12-month windows matter and when to act on each
- ABC/XYZ segmentation: how to set accuracy targets that match what's actually forecastable
- Root cause diagnosis framework: 8 common miss patterns and the fix for each
- The Monday Morning Test: how to get from number to action before lunch
- Coaching conversation guide: how to turn a bad MAPE into a development conversation
DecisioTools License & Terms of Use — PDF
- Single-user commercial license included
- Use in your organization, your team, and your S&OP process
Key Metrics Calculated Automatically
| Metric | What It Answers | Window |
|---|---|---|
| Simple MAPE | Average per-SKU accuracy | R3 / R6 / R12 |
| Volume-Weighted MAPE | P&L-relevant accuracy | R3 / R6 / R12 |
| WAPE (Company-Pooled) | Portfolio-level accuracy | R3 / R6 / R12 |
| Bias % | Over vs. under-forecast direction | R3 / R6 / R12 |
| Forecast Value Add | Does the forecast beat doing nothing? | R3 / R6 / R12 |
| ABC/XYZ Class | Volume & variability segmentation | 24-month |
Who This Is For
S&OP and IBP leaders who need a defensible, presentation-ready view of forecast performance. Demand planners who want to understand their own numbers before someone else does. Supply chain managers who are tired of accuracy reviews that produce no action. Analytics teams who need a structured, repeatable monthly measurement process.
How to Use It
- Download and open the Excel workbook in Microsoft Excel (recommended) or Google Sheets
- Follow the Start Here tab for a 5-minute setup walkthrough
- Enter your SKU master, planner assignments, and 24 months of Forecast and Actual data in the Data Input tab
- Set your As-Of Month in the Calc Engine tab — all metrics recalculate automatically
- Review your Executive Dashboard and Planner Scorecard
- Use the Playbook PDF to diagnose what the numbers mean and what to do next
- Log decisions and owners in the Planner Action Log
Format: Microsoft Excel (.xlsx) + PDF Playbook + PDF License
Compatibility: Microsoft Excel 2016+ (recommended) | Google Sheets compatible
SKU Capacity: 15 SKUs | 3 Planners | 5 Product Groups | 24-month history
License: Single-user commercial use included
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